Politics / October 7, 2024

Kamala Harris Is Taking a Big Risk by Playing It Safe

The Democratic nominee is acting like protecting her small lead is more important than energizing her base. We’ve seen this story before—and it didn’t end well.

Jeet Heer
Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a rally at Ripon College on October 3, 2024, in Ripon, Wisconsin.(Jim Vondruska / Getty Images)

Since the week of the Democratic National Convention in mid-August, Kamala Harris has run an exceptionally cautious presidential campaign. Prior to the DNC, in the month where the Democratic Party was coalescing around her candidacy, Harris presented herself as a break from the past, adopting new slogans (“We’re not going back!”), speaking much more vigorously than Joe Biden about abortion rights, and making an unexpected pick in the form of Minnesota Governor Tim Walz (whose own rhetorical style, including a willingness to call out Republicans as “weird,” was also refreshingly unconventional).

By the time theDNC occurred, Harris had settled into small but persistent lead in the polls. While this has been a vast improvement over Joe Biden (who was on track to a large loss to Donald Trump), it also had the perverse effect of making Harris scale back the boldness of her campaigning. The Harris campaign evidently adopted a do-no-harm strategy—premised on the belief that their best bet is to not upset the applecart with any new promises and instead to improve their position with moderate Republicans by emphasizing Trump’s instability.

This new strategy can be seen in everything from the elevation of Liz Cheney as a surrogate (Harris recently met with Cheney at the birthplace of the Republican party in Wisconsin) to Tim Walz’s genial, noncombative engagement with JD Vance during the vice-presidential debate. A further example of cautious campaigning is the fact that Harris been notably unwilling to criticize or break with Biden in any way, even over his unpopular Middle East policy.

The problem with a let-sleeping-dogs lie strategy is that you cannot control outside events. October in a presidential year is famously a month of surprises. Last week, a dockworker’s strike threatened to upend the economy—a danger only averted when the union agreed to postpone the strike until January. Th situation in the Middle East presents an even greater possibility of events spiralling out of control. Israel’s onslaught against Gaza has already spread into a larger regional conflict that now includes the still-expanding war in Lebanon as well as missile exchanges with Iran.

Biden himself is aware that the Israeli government of Benjamin Netanyahu is pursuing a policy that endangers the Democrats. Last Wednesday, Politico reported, “Biden told confidants that he did not believe his Israeli counterpart wanted a cease-fire deal, arguing that Netanyahu was trying to perpetuate the conflict to save his political future and assist Trump in November’s election.” The risk here is not just Netanyahu’s actions but Biden’s fecklessness. Even though Biden can recognize that Netanyahu is keeping the conflict going to help Trump, he is unwilling to use his presidential power to curb Netanyahu in any way. By refraining from distancing herself from Biden, Harris is tying herself to a policy that is already unpopular with Democratic voters and could become an anchor dragging her down if the United States becomes militarily engaged in another Middle Eastern war.

The play-it-safe strategy also means doing fewer events and less media. On Saturday, Politico published a lengthy report documenting that dissent against this policy was rising among Democrats. According to Politico:

Democratic operatives, including some of Kamala Harris’ own staffers, are growing increasingly concerned about her relatively light campaign schedule, which has her holding fewer events than Donald Trump and avoiding unscripted interactions with voters and the press almost entirely.

In interviews with POLITICO, nearly two dozen Democrats described Harris as running a do-no-harm, risk-averse approach to the race they fear could hamper her as the campaign enters its final 30-day stretch.

Harris and Walz were both highly visible before the DNC but have kept a lower profile since. As Politico notes, “Walz, who in part won the running mate slot because of his strength doing high-profile interviews—but…has largely stopped doing them since joining a campaign run by a team determined to minimize risk.” Over the last month, Harris’s avoidance of the public spotlight resembled that Hillary Clinton’s losing effort in 2016 than the more vigorous campaigning style that brought Barack Obama victory in 2008.

Playing it safe and pursuing Never Trump Republicans might make sense if Harris had a healthy lead and the Democratic base were solidly on board and energized. But, sadly, this is far from the case.

Massachusetts Representative Seth Moulton describes the race as “frighteningly close,” even with a new candidate. He wants Harris to talk much more, and in detail, about her economic and immigration policies. A Democratic operative told Politico, “You gotta get to Michigan. You need to live in Pennsylvania [because] the challenge is still Black voters in Philadelphia, Black voters in Detroit.” In a private call with donors, Representative Elissa Slotnik said, “I’m not feeling my best right now about where we are on Kamala Harris in a place like Michigan.” It could be that Slotnik is trying to drum up money from donors by scaring them, but prudence suggests that given the public polls are close, her warning should be heeded.

Harris is still not where she needs to be with Black voters, Latino voters, young voters, or working-class voters. These are the groups the Harris campaign must focus on energizing. Given that fact, pursuing Never Trump Republicans by praising Dick Cheney is an act of folly, as Dave Zirin recently noted in The Nation. Never Trump Republicans are very few in number—Liz Cheney’s defeat in 2022 may have been the biggest primary loss by an incumbent in this century—and catering to their agenda risks alienating core Democratic constituencies.

The Nation Weekly

Fridays. A weekly digest of the best of our coverage.
By signing up, you confirm that you are over the age of 16 and agree to receive occasional promotional offers for programs that support The Nation’s journalism. You may unsubscribe or adjust your preferences at any time. You can read our Privacy Policy here.

The good news is that there are signs that the Harris campaign itself is doing a reset on the play-it-safe strategy. Next week, Harris will be ramping up her media appearances, doing interviews on 60 Minutes and The View and with Stephen Colbert, and Howard Stern. She’ll also be campaigning in Nevada and Arizona. The media interviews themselves are only baby steps since, aside from 60 Minutes, they will mostly be with extremely friendly outlets.

Beyond a more visible Harris, we also need to see a bolder Harris. There is no reason for her to be afraid of criticizing Biden—especially since Biden and his staff have started to undermine Harris by suggesting that he could’ve won if he stayed in the race. As CNN reported on Sunday, “Top aides to Kamala Harris are heading into the final month of the 2024 presidential race still wrestling with how much distance she can credibly claim from Joe Biden as she looks for more ways to weave in breaks with him on the campaign trail.” CNN also reported that polling conducted by Democrats shows that voters are looking for Harris to separate herself from Biden.

A sharp break with Biden on a few core issues is exactly the bold move Harris needs right now.

We cannot back down

We now confront a second Trump presidency.

There’s not a moment to lose. We must harness our fears, our grief, and yes, our anger, to resist the dangerous policies Donald Trump will unleash on our country. We rededicate ourselves to our role as journalists and writers of principle and conscience.

Today, we also steel ourselves for the fight ahead. It will demand a fearless spirit, an informed mind, wise analysis, and humane resistance. We face the enactment of Project 2025, a far-right supreme court, political authoritarianism, increasing inequality and record homelessness, a looming climate crisis, and conflicts abroad. The Nation will expose and propose, nurture investigative reporting, and stand together as a community to keep hope and possibility alive. The Nation’s work will continue—as it has in good and not-so-good times—to develop alternative ideas and visions, to deepen our mission of truth-telling and deep reporting, and to further solidarity in a nation divided.

Armed with a remarkable 160 years of bold, independent journalism, our mandate today remains the same as when abolitionists first founded The Nation—to uphold the principles of democracy and freedom, serve as a beacon through the darkest days of resistance, and to envision and struggle for a brighter future.

The day is dark, the forces arrayed are tenacious, but as the late Nation editorial board member Toni Morrison wrote “No! This is precisely the time when artists go to work. There is no time for despair, no place for self-pity, no need for silence, no room for fear. We speak, we write, we do language. That is how civilizations heal.”

I urge you to stand with The Nation and donate today.

Onwards,

Katrina vanden Heuvel
Editorial Director and Publisher, The Nation

Jeet Heer

Jeet Heer is a national affairs correspondent for The Nation and host of the weekly Nation podcast, The Time of Monsters. He also pens the monthly column “Morbid Symptoms.” The author of In Love with Art: Francoise Mouly’s Adventures in Comics with Art Spiegelman (2013) and Sweet Lechery: Reviews, Essays and Profiles (2014), Heer has written for numerous publications, including The New Yorker, The Paris Review, Virginia Quarterly Review, The American Prospect, The GuardianThe New Republic, and The Boston Globe.

More from The Nation

How Loyalty Trumps Qualification in Trump Universe

How Loyalty Trumps Qualification in Trump Universe How Loyalty Trumps Qualification in Trump Universe

Meet “first buddy” Elon Musk.

Katrina vanden Heuvel

Kamala Harris and former Representative Liz Cheney, Republican of Wyoming, hold a moderated town hall discussion at the Royal Oak Music Theatre in Royal Oak, Michigan, on October 21, 2024.

Bury the #Resistance, Once and For All Bury the #Resistance, Once and For All

It had a bad run, and now it’s over. Let’s move on and find a new way to fight the right.

Katherine Krueger

Vice President Kamala Harris speaks onstage during a Pride celebration on June 28, 2023, in Washington, DC.

Trans People Shouldn’t Be Scapegoated for Democrats’ Failures Trans People Shouldn’t Be Scapegoated for Democrats’ Failures

Politicians and pundits are stoking a backlash to trans rights in the wake of the election. They’re playing a dangerous game.

Sydney Bauer

Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is seen at a press conference on upcoming Joint Resolutions of Disapproval (JRD) aimed at blocking certain offensive weapon sales to Israel in Washington, DC, on November 19, 2024.

Bernie Sanders Is Leading a Bold New Effort to Block Arms Sales to Israel Bernie Sanders Is Leading a Bold New Effort to Block Arms Sales to Israel

The senator has more allies than ever in his fight to hold Israel accountable and save lives in Gaza.

John Nichols

President Donald Trump pointing in front of an American flag.

Will “Serious” Republicans Block Any of Trump’s Freak-Show Cabinet Picks? Will “Serious” Republicans Block Any of Trump’s Freak-Show Cabinet Picks?

Will they stand up to even the scariest of these nominees? I’m not optimistic.

Joan Walsh

Kamala Harris, campaigning in Washington, DC, on October 29, 2024, faces protests from hundreds of people expressing disapproval of her administration’s Gaza policy.

Harris’s Gaza Policy Was a Disaster on Every Level Harris’s Gaza Policy Was a Disaster on Every Level

Palestine may not have swung the election one way or another. But Democrats unquestionably paid a high price for their refusal to hold Israel accountable.

Y.L. Al-Sheikh