Could Harris Take Florida and North Carolina? The Data Suggests She Can. Could Harris Take Florida and North Carolina? The Data Suggests She Can.
If Harris’s support among Black voters continues to consolidate as it has over the past two months, then she stands a very strong chance of winning both states.
Sep 20, 2024 / Steve Phillips
Democrats Must Change Their Whole Approach Toward White People Democrats Must Change Their Whole Approach Toward White People
Most of them are with Trump, and that’s not going to change. Instead, Democrats should target a far more winnable group of voters.
Jun 17, 2024 / Steve Phillips
Should Biden Drop Out? Should Biden Drop Out?
Two writers look at the evidence come to different conclusions about the president’s reelection prospects.
Apr 11, 2024 / The Debate / Joshua A. Cohen and Steve Phillips
Yes, Biden Can Still Win! Yes, Biden Can Still Win!
Let’s cut out the doom and gloom and look at the facts.
Mar 1, 2024 / Steve Phillips
Democrats Need to Have an Honest Talk About White People Democrats Need to Have an Honest Talk About White People
The party needs a sober, empirically grounded analysis of what we really know—and don’t know—about how best to expand support among white voters.
Sep 14, 2023 / Steve Phillips
The GOP Is Not Gaining Black Voters The GOP Is Not Gaining Black Voters
The mainstream media has been harping on the implications of Black Republican candidates, but their influence on voters is not as significant as The New York Times suggests.
Jun 7, 2023 / Steve Phillips
Don’t Count Barbara Lee Out of the California Senate Race Don’t Count Barbara Lee Out of the California Senate Race
The conventional wisdom says that Lee is the long-shot candidate in the blockbuster race. Here’s why that’s wrong.
Apr 17, 2023 / Steve Phillips
5 Questions the New DCCC Chair Needs to Answer 5 Questions the New DCCC Chair Needs to Answer
House Democrats have a new campaign chief. She needs to make a lot of changes. Here are some good places to start.
Feb 7, 2023 / Steve Phillips
How Did Arizona Turn Purple—and What’s Next? How Did Arizona Turn Purple—and What’s Next?
Big Democratic wins in 2022 in Arizona represent a promising trend, and progressives need to learn its lessons.
Dec 1, 2022 / Steve Phillips
Civil War Isn’t on the Horizon—the Original Battle Never Ended Civil War Isn’t on the Horizon—the Original Battle Never Ended
Those in the media sounding the alarm about civil unrest are right to be worried, but popular explorations of the term “civil war” don’t go far enough.
Oct 20, 2022 / Steve Phillips